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Scam Autopsy
Episode 04Federal elder-fraud prosecutions — the dataset

Do scammers actually get prosecuted?

We Read 38,779 DOJ Files. The Scams Aren't Prosecuted.

We read every Justice Department press release for two years — 38,779 of them — to find out which scams against older people actually get charged.

12 min 49 secPublished 19 August 2026DOJ press-release corpus, Aug 2024 - Aug 2026 · anchor case: U.S. v. Gravel-Nadon et al. (W.D. Ky.)

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12 min 49 sec · Full episode

The Short Answer

Do scammers actually get prosecuted?

We read every Justice Department press release for two years — 38,779 of them — to find out which scams against older people actually get charged.

A courier flew from Panama to knock on a door in Kentucky. The voice that set it up was in a Canadian call centre. Six people went to federal prison, and not one of them made the phone call. That case is the shape of the whole dataset: federal enforcement lands on the people who move the money, years later, while the person who dialled is usually abroad. This episode also states plainly where the first version of our own analysis was wrong, and how wrong these numbers might still be.

By the numbers

  • 38,779

    DOJ releases read

  • 633

    elder-fraud cases after cleaning

  • 6 years

    median sentence imposed

The Case

What happens in this episode

A courier flew from Panama to knock on a door in Kentucky. The voice that set it up was in a Canadian call centre. Six people went to federal prison, and not one of them made the phone call. That case is the shape of the whole dataset: federal enforcement lands on the people who move the money, years later, while the person who dialled is usually abroad. This episode also states plainly where the first version of our own analysis was wrong, and how wrong these numbers might still be.

Running order

Each chapter opens the episode on YouTube at that point.

A towering stack of printed press releases clipped and pinned on a dark table under a single hanging lamp.
Evidence board — Episode 04
The Three Tells

Three tells that would have stopped it

Screenshot this. Put it on the fridge. It is the whole episode in three lines.

Sources

The documents behind this episode

Every on-screen claim in this episode maps to one of the documents below. They are court records, sentencing releases, regulator filings and official reports, published by the bodies that issued them. Where a case is named, it has been adjudicated.

4 sources · Case: DOJ press-release corpus, Aug 2024 - Aug 2026 · anchor case: U.S. v. Gravel-Nadon et al. (W.D. Ky.)

Disclosure

Narration uses a synthetic AI voice; some illustrations on the evidence board are AI-generated and are visibly illustrations. Disclosed per EU AI Act Article 50. Every factual claim is sourced from public court records and official releases.